Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -800 BTLR +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -10.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -10.0 (-17.0) | 151.8 (-20.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -10.4 (-17.4) | 151.7 (-20.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -9.4 (-16.4) | 150.3 (-19.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -8.7 (-15.7) | 151.4 (-20.4) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#15) | 9.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#19) | 1.45 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#12) | 2.07 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#11) | 0.567 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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