Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | BUT -250 MARQ +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -12.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -10.6 (+0.4) | 159.6 (+3.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -11.4 (-0.4) | 154.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -11.5 (-0.5) | 155.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -12.3 (-1.3) | 157.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BUT |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BUT |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BUT |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BUT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BUT 69 – 62 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#49) | 2.5 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#58) | -0.18 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#60) | -0.35 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#73) | 0.482 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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