Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR +320 MARQ -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -6.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -6.4 (-2.6) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -5.2 (-3.8) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -6.4 (-2.6) | 146.7 (+0.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -5.5 (-3.5) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BTLR 69 – 62 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#80) | 17.6 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#136) | 3.29 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#97) | 4.46 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.641 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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