Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +155 MARQ -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -2.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -0.1 (-5.9) | 155.5 (-5.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.8 (-4.2) | 152.5 (-2.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -0.8 (-5.2) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -0.1 (-5.9) | 154.3 (-4.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BTLR 69 – 62 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#45) | 16.7 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#43) | 2.65 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#49) | 3.23 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#71) | 0.622 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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