Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -1600 BTLR +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -14.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.8 (-3.8) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -12.6 (-2.6) | 146.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -13.7 (-3.7) | 146.0 (+4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -12.5 (-2.5) | 147.2 (+2.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BTLR 69 – 62 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#12) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#10) | 1.17 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#8) | 2.52 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#11) | 0.547 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 37.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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