They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Southland Conference · The Field House · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ETAM -1.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money ETAM -125 / NWST +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total ETAM win
Actual ETAM +4 100 Won
Massey ETAM -2.3 (+1.7)
Massey Totals 145.7 (-45.7)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 80%
Baseline Plus ML ETAM -1.0 (+3.0) 140.0 (-40.0) 59%
Model 4 ML ETAM -1.5 (+2.5) 142.1 (-42.1) 59%
Model 3 ML ETAM -2.3 (+1.7) 139.4 (-39.4) 59%
Baseline ML ETAM -2.1 (+1.9) 140.5 (-40.5) 61%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 ETAM 7468 NWST
Feb 1, 2025 ETAM 7250 NWST
Jan 11, 2025 NWST 7567 ETAM
Mar 11, 2024 ETAM 6964 NWST
Mar 7, 2024 ETAM 8380 NWST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ETAM NWST
Overall 11-21 10-22
Conference 6-16 8-14
Home 6-8 8-6
Away 4-13 2-15
Neutral 1-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L4 L3
Avg Pts For 67.1 66.1
Avg Pts Against 76.0 72.9
Massey -8.3 (#293) -7.6 (#283)
Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#277) -1.94 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#276) -2.41 (#324)
RPI 0.460 (#244) 0.400 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors ETAM NWST
FG% 41.8% 44.2%
3PT% 31.8% 34.1%
REB / G 32.3 28.8
OREB / G 9.2 8.1
AST / TO 1.05 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 50.3%
TOV% 19.9% 18.5%
ORB% 25.8% 25.4%
FT Rate 22.1% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 55.9%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 17.1%
DRB% 67.6% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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