Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -125 NWST +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +4 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -2.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-45.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.3 (+1.7) | 139.4 (-39.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.5 (+2.5) | 142.1 (-42.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -1.0 (+3.0) | 140.0 (-40.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.1 (+1.9) | 140.5 (-40.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ETAM 83 – 80 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 8-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#293) | -7.6 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#277) | -1.94 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#276) | -2.41 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#244) | 0.400 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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