Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -115 ETAM -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -0.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.0 (-5.0) | 139.8 (-6.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -0.7 (-5.7) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.1 (-4.9) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.2 (-4.8) | 141.5 (-8.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ETAM 83 – 80 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#327) | -11.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#339) | -1.79 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#337) | -2.37 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#337) | 0.448 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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