Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -162 ETAM +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -4.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.3 (-9.3) | 140.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -3.0 (-9.0) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -3.7 (-9.7) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -3.2 (-9.2) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ETAM 83 – 80 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 6-16 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#273) | -8.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#320) | -1.41 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#309) | -1.76 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#326) | 0.456 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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