They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Southland Conference · Prather Coliseum · February 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NWST -3.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money NWST -162 / ETAM +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total NWST win
Actual ETAM +6 142 Lost
Massey NWST -4.7 (-10.7)
Massey Totals 146.2 (-4.2)
Bradley-Terry 54%
Weighted B-T 54%
Baseline Plus ML NWST -3.7 (-9.7) 139.6 (+2.4) 65%
Model 4 ML NWST -3.0 (-9.0) 140.4 (+1.6) 71%
Model 3 ML NWST -3.3 (-9.3) 140.1 (+1.9) 64%
Baseline ML NWST -3.2 (-9.2) 141.7 (+0.3) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 ETAM 5248 NWST
Feb 1, 2025 ETAM 7250 NWST
Jan 11, 2025 NWST 7567 ETAM
Mar 11, 2024 ETAM 6964 NWST
Mar 7, 2024 ETAM 8380 NWST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NWST ETAM
Overall 10-22 11-21
Conference 8-14 6-16
Home 8-6 6-8
Away 2-15 4-13
Neutral 0-1 1-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L3 L4
Avg Pts For 66.1 67.1
Avg Pts Against 72.9 76.0
Massey -7.1 (#273) -8.8 (#297)
Bradley-Terry -1.77 (#320) -1.41 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.19 (#309) -1.76 (#284)
RPI 0.411 (#326) 0.456 (#257)
Shooting & Four Factors NWST ETAM
FG% 43.9% 41.3%
3PT% 33.8% 31.2%
REB / G 28.9 32.4
OREB / G 8.3 9.4
AST / TO 0.92 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 48.5%
TOV% 18.7% 20.0%
ORB% 26.0% 26.1%
FT Rate 30.6% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.6% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.6%
DRB% 65.6% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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