I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Southland Conference · The Field House · February 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread NWST -3.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money ETAM +145 / NWST -170
Model Predictions
Spread Total ETAM win
Actual ETAM +22 122 Won
Massey NWST -4.4 (+26.4)
Massey Totals 133.2 (-11.2)
Bradley-Terry 20%
Weighted B-T 7%
Baseline Plus ML NWST -4.0 (+26.0) 131.8 (-9.8) 33%
Model 4 ML NWST -3.2 (+25.2) 131.3 (-9.3) 36%
Model 3 ML NWST -4.4 (+26.4) 130.6 (-8.6) 28%
Baseline ML NWST -4.3 (+26.3) 131.5 (-9.5) 37%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 ETAM 5248 NWST
Feb 5, 2026 ETAM 7468 NWST
Jan 11, 2025 NWST 7567 ETAM
Mar 11, 2024 ETAM 6964 NWST
Mar 7, 2024 ETAM 8380 NWST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ETAM NWST
Overall 5-26 16-16
Conference 3-17 12-8
Home 4-10 9-5
Away 1-16 6-11
Neutral 0-0 1-0
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.4 65.4
Avg Pts Against 74.9 69.0
Massey -11.8 (#339) -4.1 (#233)
Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#349) -0.69 (#232)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.76 (#357) -0.55 (#208)
RPI 0.381 (#347) 0.470 (#230)
Shooting & Four Factors ETAM NWST
FG% 41.6% 41.7%
3PT% 30.0% 32.4%
REB / G 31.4 35.4
OREB / G 10.4 11.8
AST / TO 0.80 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 47.1%
TOV% 23.8% 19.0%
ORB% 29.2% 33.0%
FT Rate 17.4% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 16.5%
DRB% 67.0% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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