Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -188 NWST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -3.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.1 (+0.9) | 140.8 (+22.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.3 (+1.7) | 142.5 (+20.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -2.1 (+0.9) | 144.6 (+18.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.0 (+1.0) | 143.6 (+19.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#328) | -11.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#323) | -2.15 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#332) | -2.52 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#295) | 0.407 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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