Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +100 DSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +18 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -4.3 (+22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -2.9 (+20.9) | 132.9 (-20.9) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -3.2 (+21.2) | 132.9 (-20.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -3.6 (+21.6) | 131.5 (-19.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -4.4 (+22.4) | 132.0 (-20.0) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | COPP 53 – 51 DSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DSU 83 – 79 COPP |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DSU 84 – 61 COPP |
| Feb 17, 2024 | DSU 66 – 56 COPP |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DSU 55 – 53 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 3-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -24.3 (#364) | -17.0 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.61 (#362) | -3.05 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.91 (#364) | -3.61 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#360) | 0.361 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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