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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–12 on winners spread MAE 8.8 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio @ Old Dominion -0.5 152.1 47% 72–78 ✗
Radford @ High Point +14.2 160.4 88% 77–86 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -7.4 133.5 17% 73–47 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton +9.0 155.6 83% 66–82 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +7.7 148.3 81% 68–73 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +6.4 139.2 77% 83–76 ✗
Marist @ Fairfield -2.9 132.3 46% 60–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +3.4 137.0 62% 89–79 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan State +1.4 144.3 58% 82–85 ✓
Clemson @ California -1.3 136.0 42% 77–55 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -6.7 141.9 23% 85–83 ✓
Seattle U @ Portland -2.7 141.7 43% 53–54 ✗
Pacific @ Pepperdine -6.8 134.8 29% 92–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Stanford +8.9 145.4 82% 72–95 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -14.9 138.6 12% 88–54 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +16.4 149.2 89% 75–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +7.7 147.5 78% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +9.4 132.2 85% 63–65 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State -0.1 146.2 56% 58–77 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M -0.8 165.5 45% 86–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +2.0 145.0 56% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -3.1 148.8 38% 62–59 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +14.2 131.0 87% 57–65 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +5.9 148.9 76% 63–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +7.3 146.0 78% 53–72 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP -2.7 133.4 37% 88–91 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +3.6 157.4 67% 70–78 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +12.2 142.3 87% 59–69 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +4.5 141.2 76% 73–77 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +6.0 148.7 75% 91–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +2.2 141.4 59% 79–84 ✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State -4.6 148.1 33% 74–73 ✓
Houston @ BYU +2.2 145.1 51% 77–66 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +12.2 140.0 86% 54–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +4.8 142.9 69% 67–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +2.6 164.8 64% 74–80 ✓
USC @ Penn State -3.9 154.8 35% 77–75 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State -6.9 158.1 31% 82–61 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -2.8 135.5 37% 70–63 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +10.3 148.7 85% 67–64 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane -4.6 146.6 34% 75–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Memphis +8.7 143.8 81% 54–77 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati +1.4 139.7 63% 72–92 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +8.3 142.7 78% 67–62 ✗
Rice @ UAB +9.4 154.0 81% 65–71 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +11.6 138.7 87% 70–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.