Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -440 RICE +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -11.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -9.8 (-3.8) | 153.3 (-17.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -9.4 (-3.4) | 154.0 (-18.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -9.4 (-3.4) | 150.1 (-14.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.5 (-3.5) | 151.9 (-15.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UAB 70 – 52 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#118) | -5.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#143) | -0.74 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#134) | -1.14 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#174) | 0.451 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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