Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +160 UAB -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +1 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -0.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.5 (-0.5) | 152.6 (+26.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -1.4 (+0.4) | 150.6 (+28.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -0.3 (-0.7) | 150.9 (+28.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -0.4 (-0.6) | 153.7 (+25.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UAB 70 – 52 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#178) | 3.1 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#217) | 0.33 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#201) | 0.40 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#254) | 0.520 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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