Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +100 UAB -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +18 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -2.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.2 (-48.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -1.5 (-16.5) | 156.7 (-34.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.8 (-15.2) | 153.9 (-31.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -1.0 (-17.0) | 155.8 (-33.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.7 (-16.3) | 155.9 (-33.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | 7.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 0.68 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#111) | 1.09 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#96) | 0.529 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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