Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | UAB -1400 RICE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +27 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -11.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -11.0 (+16.0) | 158.0 (-11.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -11.2 (+15.8) | 157.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -11.2 (+15.8) | 159.3 (-12.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -10.4 (+16.6) | 158.9 (-11.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UAB 70 – 52 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#54) | -2.2 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#63) | 0.25 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#60) | 0.05 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#71) | 0.498 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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