Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -700 RICE +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +23 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -10.8 (-33.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -10.3 (-33.3) | 150.3 (+14.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -10.4 (-33.4) | 148.5 (+16.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -9.8 (-32.8) | 148.4 (+16.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -9.8 (-32.8) | 148.8 (+16.2) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UAB 70 – 52 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#116) | -3.7 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#75) | -0.76 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#89) | -0.93 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#43) | 0.483 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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