Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | RID +350 MRMK -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +26 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -9.3 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -7.4 (-18.6) | 133.5 (-13.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -9.4 (-16.6) | 133.8 (-13.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -10.1 (-15.9) | 135.6 (-15.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -9.8 (-16.2) | 131.9 (-11.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2025 | MRMK 68 – 66 RID |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RID 83 – 78 MRMK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 64 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 17-3 |
| Home | 4-9 | 11-0 |
| Away | 0-16 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#351) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#357) | 0.17 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.99 (#358) | 0.10 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#345) | 0.534 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 58.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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