Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | RID +135 MRMK -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -4.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.9 (+1.9) | 129.3 (+0.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.8 (+1.8) | 127.8 (+2.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -4.0 (+2.0) | 127.4 (+2.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.8 (+1.8) | 128.8 (+1.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MRMK 73 – 47 RID |
| Dec 5, 2025 | MRMK 68 – 66 RID |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RID 83 – 78 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#319) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#287) | -0.03 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#304) | -0.25 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#296) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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