Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -130 UCI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -2.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -2.1 (+2.9) | 140.3 (+22.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -2.2 (+2.8) | 141.4 (+21.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -0.7 (+4.3) | 142.0 (+21.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -1.6 (+3.4) | 141.0 (+22.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UCI 76 – 61 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#134) | 3.3 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#130) | 0.66 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#129) | 0.88 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#124) | 0.546 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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