Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -185 UCSB +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -4.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.0 (-1.0) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.3 (-1.3) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.5 (-1.5) | 143.7 (-19.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.4 (-1.4) | 141.1 (-17.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UCI 76 – 61 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#118) | 0.18 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#121) | 0.28 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#87) | 0.515 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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