Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -850 NU +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -12.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -12.5 (-6.5) | 139.1 (+6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -11.6 (-5.6) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -11.4 (-5.4) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -11.0 (-5.0) | 139.9 (+6.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
| Feb 1, 2023 | IOWA 86 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#24) | 8.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#26) | 0.67 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#25) | 1.02 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#37) | 0.514 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 2.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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