Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -225 NU +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -9.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.4 (-5.4) | 141.8 (+17.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.2 (-5.2) | 140.6 (+18.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -5.8 (-4.8) | 140.2 (+18.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.9 (-4.9) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
| Feb 1, 2023 | IOWA 86 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#50) | 6.9 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#26) | 0.97 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.39 (#24) | 1.80 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#54) | 0.558 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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