Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -333 NU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -4.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.1 (+11.9) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -3.7 (+12.3) | 148.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -3.8 (+12.2) | 150.1 (+5.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -3.8 (+12.2) | 150.0 (+6.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#29) | 10.9 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#51) | 1.95 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#47) | 2.25 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#76) | 0.572 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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