Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NU -200 IOWA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NU -5.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.6 (+4.4) | 146.5 (-21.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.2 (+4.8) | 150.2 (-25.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.3 (+4.7) | 152.8 (-27.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.4 (+4.6) | 151.2 (-26.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
| Feb 1, 2023 | IOWA 86 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#57) | 9.4 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#67) | 1.45 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#57) | 2.02 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#103) | 0.523 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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