Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | NU -150 IOWA +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -2.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.3 (-11.3) | 154.3 (+12.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.3 (-11.3) | 150.9 (+16.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -4.4 (-11.4) | 152.0 (+15.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -3.6 (-10.6) | 152.3 (+14.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
| Feb 1, 2023 | IOWA 86 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | 11.1 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#26) | 1.49 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#24) | 2.00 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#56) | 0.553 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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