Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NU +115 IOWA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NU -1.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -2.5 (+17.5) | 139.4 (+0.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -2.6 (+17.4) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -2.0 (+18.0) | 145.8 (-5.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -1.9 (+18.1) | 141.9 (-1.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | IOWA 86 – 70 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#46) | 12.3 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#29) | 1.88 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#45) | 2.37 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#59) | 0.568 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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