Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -470 ACU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -11.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -9.4 (-7.4) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -9.8 (-7.8) | 133.1 (-5.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -10.1 (-8.1) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -10.0 (-8.0) | 132.4 (-4.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ACU 71 – 65 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | -6.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#74) | -0.63 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#84) | -0.80 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#88) | 0.476 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 38.6% |
Game Analysis
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