Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -485 ACU +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +39 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -9.8 (+29.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -8.4 (+30.6) | 133.1 (+1.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -7.8 (+31.2) | 133.7 (+1.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -9.1 (+29.9) | 133.7 (+1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -9.4 (+29.6) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ACU 71 – 65 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | -4.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#82) | -0.39 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#88) | -0.45 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#97) | 0.483 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 38.0% |
Game Analysis
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