Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -360 ACU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +23 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -8.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -6.9 (+16.1) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -6.6 (+16.4) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -7.0 (+16.0) | 135.0 (+8.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -6.5 (+16.5) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ACU 71 – 65 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#171) | -6.0 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | -1.04 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#182) | -0.84 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#190) | 0.443 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 38.9% |
Game Analysis
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