Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -138 CBU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -0.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -0.2 (+6.2) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.5 (+7.5) | 135.3 (+0.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -0.2 (+5.8) | 135.9 (+0.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.2 (+6.2) | 135.5 (+0.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#260) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#243) | -0.26 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#240) | -0.24 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#257) | 0.479 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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