Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +105 CBU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -2.3 (-3.7) | 137.0 (-23.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.6 (-4.4) | 132.4 (-18.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -2.5 (-3.5) | 135.7 (-21.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -2.4 (-3.6) | 136.3 (-22.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ACU 71 – 65 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#265) | -0.8 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#241) | -0.13 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#218) | -0.26 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#246) | 0.492 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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