Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -110 CBU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +16 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -0.0 (-16.0) | 134.8 (-2.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.4 (-15.6) | 134.2 (-2.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.6 (-15.4) | 135.3 (-3.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.4 (-15.6) | 135.7 (-3.7) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | ACU 71 – 65 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#222) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 0.88 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#163) | 1.03 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#116) | 0.522 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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