Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | OSU +370 MICH -485 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +21 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -12.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -9.7 (-11.3) | 159.3 (-16.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.9 (-14.1) | 158.1 (-15.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -9.9 (-11.1) | 158.5 (-15.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -8.7 (-12.3) | 157.8 (-14.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
| Jan 15, 2024 | MICH 73 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 19-1 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#40) | 29.8 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#47) | 4.90 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#45) | 6.59 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.691 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 59.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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