Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -1000 OSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -14.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -12.1 (-8.1) | 154.9 (-16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -10.7 (-6.7) | 155.3 (-17.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -11.2 (-7.2) | 153.3 (-15.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.0 (-7.0) | 153.7 (-15.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
| Jan 15, 2024 | MICH 73 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 29.8 (#1) | 15.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.13 (#1) | 2.52 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.65 (#2) | 3.32 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.684 (#1) | 0.579 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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