Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -125 MICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -2.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.0 (-6.0) | 148.8 (+20.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.7 (-5.7) | 150.2 (+18.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.4 (-5.4) | 150.0 (+19.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -3.5 (-6.5) | 149.1 (+19.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
| Jan 15, 2024 | MICH 73 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#22) | 18.0 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#40) | 3.12 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#31) | 4.20 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#45) | 0.642 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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