Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -800 MICH +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -9.2 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -9.3 (+13.7) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -8.2 (+14.8) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -9.1 (+13.9) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -9.2 (+13.8) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | MICH 73 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | 4.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | 0.22 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#64) | 0.70 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#83) | 0.505 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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