Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -115 OSU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -0.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.4 (+9.4) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.9 (+8.9) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.9 (+8.9) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.2 (+8.2) | 145.5 (-7.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#82) | 11.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#146) | 1.56 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#115) | 2.13 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#95) | 0.583 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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