Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -2100 OSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -19.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -17.2 (-5.2) | 157.6 (-21.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -14.9 (-2.9) | 158.8 (-22.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -15.0 (-3.0) | 159.0 (-23.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -16.4 (-4.4) | 158.7 (-22.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
| Jan 15, 2024 | MICH 73 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 30.2 (#1) | 14.1 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#5) | 2.14 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.19 (#5) | 2.96 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.690 (#1) | 0.583 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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