Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -520 CSUB +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -11.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -10.1 (+5.9) | 155.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -9.0 (+7.0) | 155.6 (-7.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -10.2 (+5.8) | 151.9 (-3.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -10.1 (+5.9) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 80 CSUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSUB 91 – 54 CSUF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUB 71 – 68 CSUF |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUB 73 – 71 CSUF |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 83.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#198) | -1.40 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#170) | -2.22 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#190) | 0.411 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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