Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +165 CSUB -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -3.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -3.3 (+0.3) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -3.6 (+0.6) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.8 (-0.2) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -3.1 (+0.1) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 80 CSUB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CSUF 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSUB 91 – 54 CSUF |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUB 73 – 71 CSUF |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#320) | -3.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#295) | -0.38 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#301) | -0.41 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#270) | 0.481 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 38.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.