Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +200 CSUF -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +8 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -6.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -6.8 (-1.2) | 156.9 (+11.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -4.3 (-3.7) | 154.4 (+13.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -6.4 (-1.6) | 154.3 (+13.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -7.2 (-0.8) | 155.7 (+12.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | CSUF 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSUB 91 – 54 CSUF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUB 71 – 68 CSUF |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUB 73 – 71 CSUF |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#328) | -2.3 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#311) | -0.11 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#325) | -0.06 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#348) | 0.503 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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