Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -230 WASH +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -3.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.6 (-0.6) | 143.7 (+6.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.5 (-0.5) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -5.1 (-1.1) | 142.2 (+7.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -5.1 (-1.1) | 143.1 (+6.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | UCLA 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCLA 65 – 60 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UCLA 69 – 58 WASH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WASH 94 – 77 UCLA |
| Jan 15, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#41) | 12.8 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#45) | 1.58 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#49) | 2.27 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#62) | 0.559 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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