Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -163 UCLA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +17 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -7.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -6.0 (+11.0) | 141.1 (+29.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.1 (+11.9) | 140.6 (+30.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -5.9 (+11.1) | 139.0 (+32.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.7 (+11.3) | 139.4 (+31.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCLA 77 – 73 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2025 | UCLA 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCLA 65 – 60 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UCLA 69 – 58 WASH |
| Jan 15, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#56) | 5.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#89) | 0.65 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#88) | 0.93 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#79) | 0.512 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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