Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +195 UCLA -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -6.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -5.4 (+0.4) | 141.0 (-16.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.1 (-0.9) | 141.0 (-16.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -4.4 (-0.6) | 139.9 (-14.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.8 (-0.2) | 140.5 (-15.5) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCLA 77 – 73 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2025 | UCLA 82 – 80 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UCLA 69 – 58 WASH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WASH 94 – 77 UCLA |
| Jan 15, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#96) | 15.2 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#89) | 2.09 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#84) | 2.65 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#109) | 0.576 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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