Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +136 UCLA -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -3.3 (-5.3) | 138.7 (+23.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -1.2 (-3.2) | 140.0 (+22.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -3.2 (-5.2) | 137.8 (+24.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -2.9 (-4.9) | 137.2 (+24.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCLA 77 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCLA 65 – 60 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UCLA 69 – 58 WASH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WASH 94 – 77 UCLA |
| Jan 15, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#76) | 8.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#52) | 0.94 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#53) | 1.05 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#65) | 0.519 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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