Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -535 MD +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -10.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -9.0 (-14.0) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -8.3 (-13.3) | 142.7 (-13.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -9.7 (-14.7) | 138.5 (-9.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -9.8 (-14.8) | 139.0 (-10.0) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2025 | MD 77 – 71 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MINN 65 – 62 MD |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MD 70 – 54 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2023 | MD 88 – 70 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MD 81 – 46 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#81) | -0.1 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#78) | 0.30 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#79) | 0.46 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#136) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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