Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MD -2000 MINN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MD -22.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -17.3 (-11.3) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -15.5 (-9.5) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -16.0 (-10.0) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -17.1 (-11.1) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MD 67 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MINN 65 – 62 MD |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MD 70 – 54 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2023 | MD 88 – 70 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MD 81 – 46 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#13) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#49) | 0.17 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#41) | 0.51 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#71) | 0.490 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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