Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MD -1100 MINN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | MD -15.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -13.7 (+2.3) | 133.9 (-9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -12.7 (+3.3) | 133.4 (-9.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -13.2 (+2.8) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -12.5 (+3.5) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MD 67 – 62 MINN |
| Jan 13, 2025 | MD 77 – 71 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | MINN 65 – 62 MD |
| Feb 23, 2023 | MD 88 – 70 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MD 81 – 46 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-17 |
| Home | 16-1 | 6-11 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#25) | -2.4 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#38) | -0.21 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#34) | -0.54 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#46) | 0.445 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.