Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -325 NAU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -9.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -6.8 (+12.2) | 147.5 (-22.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.3 (+11.7) | 146.0 (-21.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -7.2 (+11.8) | 148.1 (-23.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -6.6 (+12.4) | 148.6 (-23.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WEB 72 – 70 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#201) | -8.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#244) | -1.48 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#230) | -1.76 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#266) | 0.409 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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